All predictions
EconomyOpen

Will Welsh unemployment stay below the UK average in 2027?

Welsh unemployment has tracked close to the UK figure. This question asks whether it stays below it across 2027.

Probability

48%
chance of Yes
Predictions
512
30-day change
-1 pts

Probability history — demonstration data.

Outcome breakdown

  • Yes48%
  • No52%

Resolution rules

  • Predictions close on 31 Dec 2027.
  • The question resolves to the outcome confirmed by official public sources for Wales.
  • Accuracy is scored in free forecast points. Nothing here involves money, wagering or payouts.
512 predictionsCloses 31 Dec 2027Opened 2 Apr 2026

Recent predictions

  • forecaster_cyNo105 pts3d ago
  • eryri_statsNo60 pts2d ago
  • gwynedd_dataNo25 pts2d ago
  • eryri_statsYes70 pts2d ago
  • newport_nineNo200 pts2d ago
  • eryri_statsNo90 pts6h ago

Sample activity shown for demonstration purposes.

PoliticsOpen

Make your prediction — pick an outcome to move the probability.

2,417 predictionsCloses 7 May 2026

Chart values and prediction counts are generated for demonstration purposes and do not represent real forecasts or outcomes.