All predictions
EconomyOpen

Will the Welsh economy grow next year?

Measured by annual change in Welsh gross value added, this question tracks expectations for growth across the Welsh economy.

Probability

57%
chance of Yes
Predictions
892
30-day change
+2 pts

Probability history — demonstration data.

Outcome breakdown

  • Yes57%
  • No43%

Resolution rules

  • Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026.
  • The question resolves to the outcome confirmed by official public sources for Wales.
  • Accuracy is scored in free forecast points. Nothing here involves money, wagering or payouts.
892 predictionsCloses 31 Dec 2026Opened 5 Nov 2025

Recent predictions

  • bae_analystNo95 pts10h ago
  • cardiff_owlNo80 pts3d ago
  • newport_nineYes110 pts1d ago
  • bae_analystNo140 pts2d ago
  • forecaster_cyYes135 pts8h ago
  • gwynedd_dataNo170 pts2d ago

Sample activity shown for demonstration purposes.

PoliticsOpen

Make your prediction — pick an outcome to move the probability.

2,417 predictionsCloses 7 May 2026

Chart values and prediction counts are generated for demonstration purposes and do not represent real forecasts or outcomes.