All predictions
Current AffairsOpen

Will Wales reach one million Welsh speakers by 2050?

The Welsh Government's Cymraeg 2050 strategy targets a million speakers. This question tracks confidence in that goal being met.

Probability

34%
chance of Yes
Predictions
1,178
30-day change
-1 pts

Probability history — demonstration data.

Outcome breakdown

  • Yes34%
  • No66%

Resolution rules

  • Predictions close on 31 Dec 2049.
  • The question resolves to the outcome confirmed by official public sources for Wales.
  • Accuracy is scored in free forecast points. Nothing here involves money, wagering or payouts.
1,178 predictionsCloses 31 Dec 2049Opened 1 Dec 2025

Recent predictions

  • valleys_viewYes85 pts2d ago
  • forecaster_cyNo195 pts1d ago
  • forecaster_cyYes60 pts5h ago
  • bae_analystNo50 pts3d ago
  • forecaster_cyYes160 pts3d ago
  • eryri_statsYes155 pts16h ago

Sample activity shown for demonstration purposes.

PoliticsOpen

Make your prediction — pick an outcome to move the probability.

2,417 predictionsCloses 7 May 2026

Chart values and prediction counts are generated for demonstration purposes and do not represent real forecasts or outcomes.