All predictions
PoliticsResolved

Was the Senedd expanded to 96 Members for 2026?

Senedd reform legislation increased the size of the chamber. This question is resolved on the confirmed outcome.

Probability

96%
chance of Yes
Predictions
1,520
30-day change
+3 pts

Probability history — demonstration data.

Outcome breakdown

  • Yes96%
  • No4%

Resolution rules

  • Predictions close on 30 Jun 2025.
  • The question resolves to the outcome confirmed by official public sources for Wales.
  • Accuracy is scored in free forecast points. Nothing here involves money, wagering or payouts.
  • Resolved: Yes.
1,520 predictionsCloses 30 Jun 2025Opened 11 Nov 2024

Recent predictions

  • valleys_viewYes140 pts1d ago
  • gwynedd_dataNo55 pts6h ago
  • forecaster_cyNo50 pts1d ago
  • bae_analystYes20 pts2d ago
  • cardiff_owlYes125 pts2d ago
  • swansea_signalNo60 pts2d ago

Sample activity shown for demonstration purposes.

PoliticsOpen

Make your prediction — pick an outcome to move the probability.

2,417 predictionsCloses 7 May 2026

Chart values and prediction counts are generated for demonstration purposes and do not represent real forecasts or outcomes.